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Vol. 1, No. 1
JANUARY-JUNE, 2011
Research Articles
Research Notes and Statistics
Field Reports
Symposium
Book Reviews
Are there Benefits from the Cultivation of Bt Cotton?
A Comment Based on Data from a Vidarbha Village
Madhura Swaminathan* and Vikas Rawal†1
*Indian Statistical Institute, Kolkata, madhuraswaminathan@gmail.com.
†Jawaharlal Nehru University, New Delhi.
Abstract: This note examines costs and returns from the cultivation of different types of cotton in a rainfed village in the Vidarbha region of Maharashtra, India. While the pros and cons of GM cotton are extensively debated, there are only a few empirical studies on the economic performance of Bt cotton, particularly under rainfed conditions. The results from a detailed survey of farm business incomes show that Bt cotton was a clear leader in terms of production and gross value of output when grown as a stand-alone crop. However, on the fields of small and marginal farmers, where cotton was usually intercropped with sorghum (or other cereals and pulses), the relative income advantage of Bt cotton declined. Further, expenditure on chemical pesticides was higher for Bt cotton than for other varieties of cotton. Variability in production was also higher for Bt cotton than for other types of cotton.
Keywords: GM, Bt cotton, costs of cultivation, incomes, village, Maharashtra, India.
Introduction
A recent review of the performance
of Bt cotton in India, China, and South Africa argues that while “Bt cotton has
had some beneficial impacts in the developing world,” the benefits for poor
small-holder farmers “are neither as simple, as uniform, as context-independent
nor as sizable as they have frequently been depicted to be” (Glover 2010).
This note examines the costs and returns from cultivation of different types of
cotton in a rainfed village characterized by small-holder cultivation in the
Vidarbha region of Maharashtra, and by doing so, contributes, we believe, to
understanding the economic implications of growing Bt cotton in a specific
institutional and socio-economic context.
In the last few years, after the
introduction and rapid spread of Bt cotton in India, there has been much debate
on the pros and cons of the new technology.2 There are
several strands in the debate on Bt cotton technology, of which five important
ones are, first, the transparency and functioning of the Genetic Engineering
Approval Committee (GEAC) of the Government of India; secondly, the role of
private multinational companies (Monsanto in particular) and their extraction
of monopoly profits; thirdly, the nature of diffusion of the technology
(including issues of seed quality and purity); fourthly, the safety, health
implications, and environmental implications of the new technology; and,
fifthly, the economic performance of Bt cotton in terms of costs and returns.
There are only a few detailed empirical research studies that examine the economic impact of the cultivation of Bt cotton in India. One of the first research papers on the impact of Bt cotton cultivation (Qaim 2003) argued that while “Bt cotton seeds are significantly more expensive than conventional hybrids, the productivity gains outweigh the higher seed costs and lead to large net benefits at the farm level” (ibid., p. 2125). This research was based on field trials conducted before the official introduction of varieties of Bt cotton, and therefore does not reflect normal cultivation practices. The first survey of Bt cotton grown commercially was of 100 farming families in Andhra Pradesh and Maharashtra (Sahai and Rahman 2003), and the conclusions of the authors were that seed costs were four times higher for Bt than traditional varieties, and that the increase in seed costs was not compensated by yield increases or savings on pesticide use. Sahai and Rahman stated that the net profit was lower for Bt cotton than for non-Bt cotton.3
Gandhi and Namboodiri (2006) conducted a survey of 694 Bt and non-Bt cotton farmers in four States in 2004. Bennett et al. (2006) have analysed data from a survey conducted in 2002 and 2003 by the Maharashtra Hybrid Seed Company (MAHYCO), the Monsanto-owned company that was licensed to sell Bt cotton in India.4 The MAHYCO survey did not collect data on labour costs and fertilizer costs. Qaim et al. (2006) is based on a survey done in 2003 of 341 cotton farmers in four States. Ramasundaram et al. (2007) collected data from Vidarbha in Maharashtra during 2002–04. Narayanamoorthy and Kalamkar (2006) also undertook a survey of irrigated cotton cultivators in Maharashtra. Loganathan et al. (2009) collected data from around 120 cultivators of Tamil Nadu in 2004–05. The most recent research is based on a survey of 623 cultivators in four districts of Andhra Pradesh in 2005 (Mahendra Dev and Rao 2007), with a follow-up survey in 2007 (Rao and Mahendra Dev 2009).
These studies concur in respect of their major findings.5
First, they show conclusively that yields of Bt cotton are higher than yields of other varieties of cotton. The percentage increase in yield from sowing Bt cotton ranges from 29 to 65 per cent (Table 1). In the most recent study undertaken in Andhra Pradesh, the yield of Bt cotton is reported to be 30 per cent higher than that of non-Bt cotton (ibid.).6
Secondly, most studies show that
returns or incomes to farmers were higher from the cultivation of Bt than from
non-Bt cotton. Reviewing the earlier studies, Rao and Mahendra Dev (2009) note that the percentage
increase in profits ranged between 69 to 88 per cent; in their most recent study,
however, they estimate a 251 per cent increase in profit when a farmer shifts
from other cotton to Bt cotton. A very big rise in profits was also observed in
the study of Tamil Nadu (Table 1). There are, of course, variations across
States. Gandhi and Namboodiri (2006) found that of the four States in their study, returns
were the highest in Maharashtra. Qaim et al. (2006)
noted that cultivators in Andhra Pradesh suffered losses, in contrast to those
in Maharashtra, Karnataka, and Tamil Nadu.
Authors |
Survey Year |
Percentage increase in |
|||
Yield |
Pesticide |
Profit |
Cost |
||
2002–03 |
34 |
–41 |
69 |
47 |
|
2003–04 |
29 |
–60 |
78 |
NA |
|
2003–04 |
52 |
–5 |
79 |
34 |
|
2002–04 |
25 |
–53 |
30 |
21 |
|
2004–05 |
31 |
–24 |
88 |
7 |
|
2004–05 |
65 |
–78 |
668 |
92 |
|
Mahendra Dev and Rao (2007) (with and without) |
2004–05 |
32 |
–18 |
83 |
17 |
Rao and Mahendra Dev (2009) (after adoption) |
2006–07 |
42 |
–56 |
251 |
–1 |
Source: Based on Rao and Mahendra Dev (2009), Table 1; Ramasundaram et al. (2007); and Loganathan et al. (2009). We have excluded papers based on data from field trials.
Thirdly, in terms of the costs of
specific inputs, all studies state that the expenditure on pesticides and
insecticides is lower for Bt cotton than for other varieties of cotton, as is
the actual quantity of chemicals applied. For example, according to Mahendra Dev and Rao (2007), costs of insecticides were lower by 18 per cent for Bt
farmers than for non-Bt farmers. The amount of insecticide use was reduced by
50 per cent on Bt plots according to Qaim et al. (2006),
and by 78 per cent according to Loganathan et al. (2009). A reduction in the use of chemicals, it is argued, can bring
health and environmental benefits.
We have data from 186 cultivator households in one cotton-growing rainfed village of Maharashtra, surveyed in 2007 as part of a larger research project, Project on Agrarian Relations in India (PARI).7 Our survey was a census of all households in the village. We collected detailed information on land ownership and operation; on crop cultivation; on costs and labour use by operation crop and season; and on asset ownership, indebtedness, and other household variables. In this paper, we use the data on costs and incomes to examine the returns from cotton cultivation. While data from one village can only be illustrative, we have the advantage of observations on all cultivators in a given location, and the advantage that the authors themselves were part of the survey team.
Two other village-level studies of the costs and profits from cotton cultivation have recently been conducted in Maharashtra: a study of Dongargon village (Ramakumar, Raut, and Kumar 2009) and one of Kanzara village (Subramanian and Qaim 2010). Both villages are in Akola district, which neighbours our study area, in Buldhana district. We discuss the findings from these two studies alongside our results in the third section of this paper.8
The Village and Region
In 2007, we conducted a detailed
census-type household survey in Warwat Khanderao, a village in the unirrigated
cotton-growing tracts of the Vidarbha region of Maharashtra.
India is the third largest
producer of cotton in the world, and the state of Maharashtra has the highest
acreage under cotton in India. In 2006–07, 3.11 million hectares were sown with
cotton in Maharashtra, accounting for 34 per cent of all area under cotton in
India. Cotton in India is grown mainly on small holdings. Most of the cotton in
Maharashtra is cultivated on unirrigated or rainfed land (only 4.8 per cent of
cropped area under cotton was irrigated) and yields in Maharashtra are lower
than in other States. Maharashtra accounted for 20 per cent of national
production in 2006–07. Cotton cultivation is typically on black soils.
Warwat Khanderao is in Sangrampur
tehsil, Buldhana district, in the Vidarbha region of Maharashtra. The nearest
town is Shegaon, which is 20 kilometres from the village. At our survey, there
were 250 households with a population of 1,308 persons (at the Census of 2001,
the population was 1,447) in the village. The literacy level of persons aged
seven and above was 74 per cent, with a male literacy rate of 83 per cent and
female literacy rate of 66 per cent. The major caste in the village was Kunbi
(43 per cent of all households). Agriculture is the main occupation of
residents, with 69 per cent of workers reported to be cultivators and another
15 per cent reported to be agricultural labourers (Census of India 2001). The
remaining 16 per cent of workers included non-agricultural manual workers, and
workers in business and services.
The pattern of ownership of land
shows that 25 per cent of households did not operate any agricultural land
(Table 2). Thirty per cent of operational holdings can be characterized as
marginal farms (of less than 2.5 acres or 1 hectare) and another 23 per cent as
small farms (2.5 to 5 acres). Thus, 53 per cent of farms were small holdings of
up to 5 acres. The median extent of household land ownership was 3.5 acres
(excluding the landless). The biggest landowner in the village owned 85 acres.
Kunbis accounted for 43 per cent of the village households but owned 65 per
cent of the land held by residents.
Warwat Khanderao is a predominantly
agricultural village. Of the 250 households surveyed, 183 obtained some income
from crop production. The mean annual income from crop cultivation in 2006–07
was Rs 35,841 per household (the median was Rs 15,924) at current prices. Crop
incomes accounted for 42 per cent of the incomes of resident households, making
agriculture a major source of income. If we take the major landowning caste,
Kunbis, we find that 83 per cent of households received incomes from crop
production, and such incomes accounted for 49 per cent of their total household
incomes.
Size-class (acres) |
No. of Households |
% of Households |
Area (acres) |
% of area |
0 |
62 |
24.8 |
0 |
0.0 |
>0≤1 |
15 |
6.0 |
14.25 |
1.3 |
>1–2.5 |
59 |
23.6 |
116.53 |
10.5 |
>2.5–5 |
57 |
22.8 |
217.88 |
19.7 |
>5–10 |
31 |
12.4 |
231.53 |
20.9 |
>10–20 |
19 |
7.6 |
260.80 |
23.5 |
20–85 |
7 |
2.8 |
267.00 |
24.1 |
All |
250 |
100 |
1,107.99 |
100.0 |
Source: Survey data 2007.
Cropping Pattern
The major crop cultivated in 2007
was cotton, both Bt and non-Bt varieties. The area under cotton accounted for
77 per cent of gross cropped area (Table 3). Other crops grown included green
gram, black gram, red gram, jowar, groundnut, sunflower, sesamum, maize, and
wheat. Cotton was cultivated in the kharif season, that is, from June–July to
October–November, and was intercropped mainly with green gram, black gram and
red gram. A few cultivators raised wheat during the rabi season, that is, from
November–December to February. Cultivation was mainly rainfed, although a few
cultivators used borewells for irrigating the crop.
There are three features of cropping pattern and farming practices that we shall highlight here. First, several varieties of cotton, Bt and non-Bt, were grown in Warwat Khanderao in the same crop year, 2006–07. While all studies on the economics of Bt cotton have categorized cotton into two types: Bt and non-Bt (termed local or conventional or traditional), a three-way categorization – Bt cotton, premium (branded) non-Bt cotton, and local non-Bt cotton – was more appropriate to the context that we studied.9 Bt cotton seeds were sold in packets that contained 400 grams of Bt cotton seeds and 50 grams of non-Bt cotton seeds to be planted as refuge. The prices of packets of Bt cotton seeds of different brands were between Rs 650 and Rs 850 per packet. In contrast, premium non-Bt seeds were normally sold in packets of 750 grams, at Rs 200 to Rs 350 per packet. “Premium non-Bt varieties” can be illegal Bt seeds, genuine hybrids without Bt, or crosses between transgenic and other varieties. Local non-Bt seeds were either recycled from home production or purchased in unpackaged form at Rs 25 to Rs 60 per kilogram. Local non-Bt cotton seeds were thus much cheaper than premium non-Bt cotton seeds.
In this context, a two-fold
categorization into Bt and non-Bt would result in clubbing high-yielding non-Bt
hybrids together with traditional varieties or older hybrids, and this can be
misleading if used to establish the superiority of Bt over other seeds.
|
Acreage |
Share of GCA |
Share of |
Bt cotton intercropped with other crops |
395 |
34.7 |
43.1 |
Premium non-Bt cotton intercropped with other crops |
230 |
20.3 |
25.1 |
Bt cotton stand-alone |
119 |
10.4 |
12.9 |
Local non-Bt cotton intercropped with other crops |
107 |
9.4 |
11.6 |
Local non-Bt cotton stand-alone |
42 |
3.7 |
4.5 |
Premium non-Bt cotton stand-alone |
25 |
2.2 |
2.7 |
Sorghum (Jowar) |
93 |
8.2 |
- |
Pulses |
47 |
4.1 |
- |
Wheat |
21 |
1.8 |
- |
All crops* |
1137 |
100.0 |
100.0 |
Note: * The column does not add up as area under minor crops is included in the total for all crops.
Source: Survey data 2007.
Secondly, cotton, including Bt cotton, was grown on separate plots as well as intercropped with other crops. The area under inter-cropping was 65 per cent of gross cropped area and nearly 80 per cent of the area under cotton. In fact, 395 acres (or 160 hectares), accounting for 34.7 per cent of gross cropped area and 43 per cent of area under cotton in the village, was land sown with Bt cotton intercropped with other crops (mainly pulses). According to the Handbook of Agriculture, inter-cropping (or strip-cropping) is the traditional practice with cotton cultivation in many parts of Central and South India (ICAR 2006).10
Most commonly, rows of cotton were
alternated with rows of green gram, black gram, and, in some cases, sorghum. A
few rows of red gram were also commonly planted in between. Crops were usually
sown in June–July. Green gram and black gram were harvested in August–September
when the cotton bushes were still young. Cotton was picked between October and
January. Red gram was harvested in January–February after all the cotton had
been harvested. Since cotton bushes grow substantially in size, they need to be
planted with a space of about 4 feet between rows. Inter-cropping with cotton
is particularly economical because in the early stages of plant growth, when
the bushes are small and flowering has not yet started, short-duration crops
like green gram, black gram, and sorghum can be grown in between the rows
without reducing the density of cotton bushes. These leguminous plants also
helped nitrogen fixation in the soil.
All cultivators maintained the
traditional practice of inter-cropping cotton with pulses even after the
introduction of Bt cotton. Nevertheless, the proportion of land under inter-cropping
was negatively related to farm size (Table 5). In Warwat Khanderao, among
marginal and small farms, over 90 per cent of the cotton crop was intercropped
with pulses; the proportion fell to 61 per cent for cultivators with over 20 acres.
This is not surprising, given that pulses and jowar were mainly grown for
self-consumption.
Conversely, of the total area under stand-alone Bt cotton, 69 per cent was cultivated by households with more than 10 acres of operational land, that is, by relatively large farmers, and only 4 per cent by households with less than 2.5 acres.11 In other words, the practice of growing Bt cotton alone is mainly adopted by cultivators with larger land-holdings.
Thirdly, Bt cotton was grown by both small and
large cultivators. Indeed, the proportion of area under Bt cotton was similar
across farms of different sizes (Table 4). On average, both small (2.5 to 5
acres) and large farms (10–20 acres) reported about 60 per cent of gross cropped
area under Bt cotton. The proportion of area under Bt cotton was lower (46 per
cent of cotton gross cropped area) only among very big cultivators (seven
households with more than 20 acres each).
Size-class of operational
|
Local |
Premium |
Bt cotton |
All cotton |
|
Per cent |
Acres |
||||
>0–2.5 |
24.5 |
16.0 |
59.6 |
100.0 |
118 |
>2.5–5 |
14.8 |
26.1 |
59.1 |
100.0 |
200 |
>5–10 |
14.7 |
31.6 |
53.8 |
100.0 |
184 |
>10–20 |
13.7 |
24.9 |
61.4 |
100.0 |
227 |
20–85 |
16.9 |
36.9 |
46.2 |
100.0 |
190 |
All |
16.2 |
27.8 |
56.0 |
100.0 |
917 |
Note: Area cultivated includes total area under the crop whether stand-alone or intercropped.
Source: Survey data 2007.
Size-class of operational holdings (acres) |
Local non-Bt |
Premium non-Bt |
Bt |
All cotton |
>0–2.5 |
100.0 |
100.0 |
92.9 |
95.7 |
>2.5–5 |
100.0 |
100.0 |
86.0 |
91.7 |
>5–10 |
81.4 |
94.8 |
84.8 |
87.5 |
>10–20 |
67.7 |
61.0 |
75.6 |
70.9 |
20–85 |
17.2 |
100.0 |
45.1 |
60.7 |
All |
72.0 |
90.2 |
76.9 |
79.8 |
Source: Survey data 2007.
Returns from Cotton Cultivation
The features of cropping pattern
in the village that we have highlighted above have two important methodological
implications. First, we have to separate costs and incomes from cultivation for
the three types of cotton. Secondly, on account of inter-cropping, it becomes
difficult to estimate the returns to cotton separately from the returns to crops
grown along with cotton. We have chosen not to separate the costs for each crop
that is part of an intercropped field by following some rule of thumb, such as
apportioning costs in the ratio of the gross value of output or seed rate. Some
crop operations like ploughing are done jointly, some crop operations like
harvesting are done separately, some inputs are applied to the entire field,
and some, such as the application of pesticides, may be directed to cotton
only. Although we have data on gross incomes for each of the different crops,
in our analysis of incomes in this paper, we examine (a) returns from cotton
where cotton is grown as a stand-alone crop, and (b) returns from the cotton farming system where cotton is
cultivated with other crops on the same plot.
Our estimates of gross incomes, paid-out costs, and net incomes from the cultivation of cotton are shown in Table 6. Since our survey was a census, the reported figures are population averages. As discussed, the returns refer to cotton alone where cotton is grown separately, and to total incomes per acre where cotton is intercropped. In other words, we are comparing the returns per acre to cultivators based on their chosen crop mix and not examining only crop-specific returns.12
Crop |
Gross value of output |
Cost A2 |
Farm business incomes |
Stand-alone cotton |
|
|
|
Bt cotton (stand-alone) |
14,928 |
7,869 |
7,059 |
Local non-Bt cotton (stand-alone) |
7,418 |
3,835 |
3,583 |
Intercropped cotton
|
|
|
|
Bt cotton intercropped with other crops |
12,485 |
6,130 |
6,355 |
Premium non-Bt cotton intercropped with other crops |
11,693 |
4,964 |
6,729 |
Local non-Bt cotton intercropped with other crops |
7,652 |
3,269 |
4,382 |
Stand-alone and intercropped combined
|
|
|
|
Bt cotton (stand-alone and intercropped) |
13,059 |
6,539 |
6,520 |
Premium non-Bt cotton (stand-alone and intercropped*) |
11,213 |
5,031 |
6,183 |
Local non-Bt cotton (stand-alone and intercropped) |
7,571 |
3,465 |
4,106 |
Wheat |
11,830 |
6,742 |
5,088 |
Sorghum |
6,084 |
3,929 |
2,155 |
Pulses (stand-alone) |
12,519 |
5,254 |
7,264 |
All crops |
11,249 |
5,479 |
5,770 |
Notes: *As very few households cultivated premium non-BT varieties as a stand-alone crop, we have not shown the estimates separately.
Source: Survey data 2007.
To estimate net incomes, we deduct
costs from the gross value of output (GVO), or the value of all output, crops,
and their by-products, on a given unit of cultivated land. Since Bt cotton and
other types of cotton were not separated at the time of sale, the prices
received by any cultivator at any specific sale were the same irrespective of
the variety of cotton grown.
The cost concept used is Cost A2,
as defined by the Government of India’s Commission on Agricultural Costs and
Prices (CACP) (Surjit 2008). Cost A2 includes cost of hired labour, cost of
owned and hired animal labour, cost of owned and hired machinery, value of
home-produced and purchased seeds, value of plant protection chemicals, value
of home-produced and purchased manure, value of all fertilizers used,
depreciation of fixed capital, irrigation charges, land revenue, interest on
working capital, rent paid for leased-in land, and any other paid-out costs. It
does not include any imputed costs of the use of one’s own land or any imputed
costs of family labour.
Estimate of Gross Incomes
The gross income or gross value of
output per acre from the cultivation of Bt cotton (Rs 14,928 per acre or Rs
36,872 per hectare) was much higher than from any other crop or crop combination
(Table 6). By way of comparison, Ramasundaram et al. (2007) estimated a gross value of output of Rs 26,227 per hectare
for Bt cotton cultivators in Vidarbha (in 2002–04). In Kanzara village, the
gross value of output from Bt cotton was reported to be Rs 14,323 per acre for
the crop year 2006–07 (a figure that is almost identical to our estimate).
On intercropped fields, the gross
value of output per acre was Rs 12,485 where Bt cotton was grown, and Rs 11,693
where premium non-Bt cotton was grown. The gross value of output on land under
local cotton varieties was much lower, at Rs 7,652 per acre.
On stand-alone fields, the gross
value of output from Bt cotton was 101 per cent higher than the gross value of
output from local varieties of cotton (Table 7). When only intercropped fields
are considered, the gross value of output from Bt cotton fields was 7 per cent
higher than the gross value of output from premium non-Bt cotton fields, and 63
per cent higher than on fields with local cotton. On average, on all
intercropped plots, the gross income from the mixed crop (say, pulses) was
similar, and the differences in gross value of output were thus on account of
differences in cotton production. In other words, while Bt cotton outperformed
other seeds when grown separately, on intercropped fields, the yields and
gross value of output from Bt cotton were only a little higher than from
premium non-Bt seeds.
Variable |
Stand-alone Bt cotton relative to local cotton |
Intercropped Bt relative |
Intercropped Bt relative to intercropped premium non-Bt |
GVO |
101 |
63 |
7 |
Cost A2 |
105 |
87 |
23 |
Net incomes |
97 |
45 |
-6 |
Source: Survey data 2007.
Costs
Of all crop combinations, costs of cultivation (Cost A2) were the highest for Bt cotton grown as a single crop (Rs 7,869 per acre).13 Costs of cultivation were the lowest for local non-Bt cotton and jowar (Table 7). The source of high costs in Bt cotton becomes clearer when we examine item-wise costs (see Table 8).
First, as expected, costs of seed
were the highest for Bt cotton, the second highest for premium non-Bt cotton,
and the lowest for local non-Bt cotton. Expenditure on seeds is a major
component of expenditure on cultivation of Bt cotton, second only to labour
costs.
Secondly,
and contrary to what we expected, costs of pesticides and insecticides (or what
is termed plant protection chemicals) were much higher for Bt cotton than for
non-Bt cotton in both absolute and proportionate terms. For example, where Bt
cotton was grown separately, costs of chemicals amounted to Rs 1,041 per acre,
accounting for 13 per cent of total input costs. By contrast, on fields with
premium non-Bt cotton, costs of pesticides amounted to Rs 622 per acre (or 11
per cent of total paid-out costs). These costs were the lowest for local cotton
(Rs 277 per acre).
Item |
Bt cotton (stand-alone) |
Local non-Bt cotton |
Bt cotton intercropped |
Premium non-Bt cotton intercropped |
Local non-Bt cotton intercropped |
Seed |
1041 |
121 |
1002 |
692 |
271 |
Manure |
596 |
241 |
347 |
217 |
164 |
Fertilizer |
847 |
550 |
605 |
583 |
352 |
Plant protection chemicals |
1014 |
277 |
706 |
495 |
113 |
Irrigation |
42 |
0 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
Hired labour |
2629 |
1267 |
1959 |
1902 |
1320 |
Machinery |
178 |
283 |
281 |
202 |
238 |
Animal labour |
568 |
288 |
536 |
355 |
466 |
Rent |
253 |
337 |
155 |
52 |
114 |
Marketing expenses |
8 |
0 |
19 |
13 |
14 |
Crop insurance |
4 |
0 |
10 |
1 |
2 |
Taxes |
17 |
3 |
22 |
29 |
23 |
Interest on working capital |
283 |
138 |
230 |
182 |
123 |
Depreciation |
320 |
298 |
213 |
193 |
61 |
Maintenance |
50 |
31 |
28 |
35 |
7 |
Miscellaneous expenses |
19 |
0 |
10 |
13 |
1 |
Cost A2 |
7869 |
3835 |
6130 |
4964 |
3269 |
Source: Survey data 2007.
As shown in Table 1, all previous studies showed that costs of pesticides were lower in absolute terms for Bt cotton than for other types of cotton. In a Vidarbha study, pesticide costs amounted to Rs 1,133 per hectare for Bt and Rs 2,402 per hectare for conventional cotton (Ramasundaram et al. 2007). Our study differs in this respect (see also, Ramakumar et al. 2009).14
The reasons for high use of
pesticides on Bt fields may be many, including the presence of pests other than
bollworm (for which Bt provides resistance), wrong or ignorant farming
practices, the risk-averseness of cultivators (leading to precautionary
spraying because of high investment in cultivation of Bt varieties), and so on.
Nevertheless, it is a fact that in Warwat Khanderao, the application of
pesticides and costs of pesticide application were not lowered with the
adoption of Bt cotton.
Our survey
also showed that input dealers and marketing agents of seed companies were the
main source of information on agricultural inputs and farming practices. Of all
households in the village that operated land, 46 per cent reported that the
main source of information on farming practices were input dealers and seed
companies. Seed companies organized training camps where farmers were told
about the new varieties available. Another 24 per cent of cultivators said they
obtained information from other farmers. Fifteen per cent of cultivators said
they listened to radio programmes or watched television programmes on
agriculture, but seldom did they get information relevant to their needs. Seven
per cent of households said they obtained some information from newspapers and
magazines. Only 11 per cent of cultivating households obtained information from
extension workers or any public institution.
Net Incomes
In Warwat Khanderao, the net
income or farm business income from stand-alone Bt cotton fields was Rs 7,059
per acre or Rs 17,435 per hectare (equivalent to 425 USD per hectare at the
June 2007 exchange rate). Qaim and Subramanian (2010) report a net income of Rs
7,120 per acre in Kanzara for the same year, and Ramakumar et al. report a net income of Rs 7,575 per acre. The estimates from
the three village studies are remarkably close and provide credibility to our
data. They are also higher than the estimates for earlier years for the same
region (Ramasundaran et al. 2007).
In
absolute terms, the difference in net incomes between Bt and local varieties of
cotton was around Rs 3,400 per acre. For Kanzara village, according to
Subramanian and Qaim (2010), per acre net revenues were on average Rs 2,000–3,000
higher on Bt than on conventional cotton plots.
The
income advantage of Bt cotton fell with inter-cropping. On intercropped
plots, the gross value of output per acre from intercropped Bt cotton was only
slightly higher than from intercropped premium non-Bt cotton, but as costs
were also higher, net incomes became slightly lower (Rs 6,355 an acre from
intercropped Bt cotton and Rs 6,729 per acre from intercropped premium non-Bt
cotton; Table 6).
With one exception (Ramakumar et al. 2009), existing
studies on the economics of Bt cotton have not dealt with the issue of inter-cropping
and its implications for yields and returns. As shown in Table 3, 79 per cent
of the cotton area of the village is under mixed crops, and only 21 per cent
under pure cotton. Inter-cropping is thus the dominant local cultivation
practice, as is also the case in other unirrigated areas of Maharashtra.15 The
economics of intercropped cotton needs further research.
Cotton prices fluctuate from year to year, and have crashed in several years, resulting in big losses to cultivators. The median price from our survey data was Rs 1,900 per quintal, close to the minimum support price for long-staple cotton that year.16 Thus, in a “normal” year, it is clear that the cultivation of both Bt cotton and premium non-Bt cotton was profitable even in a rainfed village, bringing in at least Rs 6,000 an acre. It is surprising, then, to find that the estimates of net incomes (farm business incomes) reported in official data for Maharashtra are much lower (only a single average income is reported, aggregated over types of seed and availability of irrigation). In 2005–06, according to CACP data, net income from cotton cultivation in Maharashtra was Rs 1,659 per acre.17
Multivariate Regression
The preliminary statistical
analysis indicates that differences in costs and incomes relate not only to choice
of seed, but also to variations in crop mix, pattern of input use and farming
practices. The latter, in turn, depend on many factors, including size of
operational holding. In order to look at the combined effect of different
variables on gross output and net incomes, we estimated the following
regressions.
First, we estimated an ordinary
least squares (OLS) equation with gross value of output (GVO) per acre as the
dependent variable (Appendix Table A1). The independent variables included size
of land-holding, caste, expenditure on specific inputs, and type of cotton-farming
system. To accommodate actual cultivation practices, we took intercropped Bt
cotton as the default and introduced dummy variables for all other cotton crop
combinations. Since there was significant heteroscedasticity in this model,
tests of significance were done using White’s heteroscedasticity corrected
covariance matrix. All the variables are defined in Appendix Table A5.
The results show that size of
operational holding has a positive effect on gross value of output. Secondly,
additional application of fertilizers and pesticides per unit of land has a
positive impact on gross value of output. Thirdly, the gross value of output
was lower among Muslim households than all other social groups in the village.
This can be explained by the fact that all the Muslim households (and some of
the Dalit households) owned land by the side of the river, land that was
reported to be of inferior quality. The social group variable was probably
picking up differences in the quality of land. Lastly, local non-Bt cotton,
when cultivated as a stand-alone crop or when intercropped with other crops,
resulted in a lower gross value output than intercropped Bt cotton, but the
gross value of output per acre from intercropped premium non-Bt cotton was not
significantly different from that of intercropped Bt cotton. As noted earlier,
in this village, the major part of gross cropped area was intercropped.
A second regression was undertaken
using the logarithm of the gross value of output per acre as the dependent
variable (Appendix Table A2). The logarithmic transformation removed skewness
and thus the problem of heteroscedasticity. However, we had to eliminate eight
observations where the crop had failed completely and gross value of output,
consequently, was zero. The results are similar to the previous model except
for one. In the logarithmic model, intercropped premium non-Bt cotton showed a
significantly lower gross value of output than intercropped Bt cotton.
Based on these two regressions, it
can be argued that intercropped Bt cotton resulted in a higher gross value of
output than all other non-Bt cotton crop combinations.
In terms of incomes, however, the
picture is different. In Appendix Table A3, we report the results of an OLS
regression with net income per acre as the dependent variable. There was
heteroscedasticity in this model as well, and therefore tests of significance
were done using White’s heteroscedasticity corrected covariance matrix. Since
net income takes negative values for a sizeable number of observations (19 out
of 260), and because negative incomes reflect a phenomenon that we did not want
to ignore, a logarithmic transformation of net income was not used.
The size of operated land had a
positive effect on net incomes per acre. Most importantly, all the intercropped
plots, whether using Bt or other types of cotton, did not differ significantly
in terms of net incomes per acre. Only when local non-Bt cotton was grown as a
stand-alone crop (not a common practice) were the returns lower than on intercropped
Bt cotton plots. To put it differently, after adjusting for farm size and input
use, net returns from intercropped fields were similar across types of cotton,
and also similar to returns from stand-alone Bt cotton fields.
Lastly, we estimated separate
regressions for four major cotton crop combinations: stand-alone Bt cotton,
intercropped Bt cotton, intercropped premium non-Bt cotton, and intercropped
local non-Bt cotton (Appendix Table A4). Interestingly, the factors affecting
gross value of output differed in the four types of fields. The size of land-holding
was significant for intercropped premium non-Bt cotton. On stand-alone Bt
cotton plots, the gross value of output gained by Dalit households was significantly
lower than the gross value of output gained by households from Other Backward
Classes. Plant protection chemicals gave a boost to gross value of output on
intercropped Bt plots, while fertilizers made an impact on intercropped local
cotton.
The residual standard errors of
the regressions for each type of crop mix show that, after controlling for
variations in expenditure on various inputs and the influence of socio-economic
differences, the residual variation in the gross value of output – a measure of
production uncertainty – was highest for Bt cotton, whether stand-alone or
intercropped, and lowest for local non-Bt cotton (Table A6). Specifically, production
uncertainty in the cultivation of intercropped Bt cotton was about 55 per cent
higher than production uncertainty in the cultivation of local non-Bt cotton.
Production uncertainty in the cultivation of premium non-Bt cotton was about 30
per cent higher than production uncertainty in the cultivation of local non-Bt
cotton.
Concluding Remarks
This note examines farm business
incomes from Bt cotton in field conditions in a rainfed village in the Vidarbha
region of Maharashtra, where the majority of cultivators operated less than 5 acres
of land. While our results cannot be compared with the findings of multi-state
sample surveys, we believe there are some valuable findings in this village
study.
In Maharashtra, the State with the
largest cotton acreage in the country, over 90 per cent of the cotton is grown
under rainfed conditions. Our village study provides an evaluation of the gains
from Bt cotton (or farm business incomes from Bt cotton) based on its
cultivation as an unirrigated crop.
Any evaluation of the economics of
Bt cultivation must also take into account the fact that a very substantial
proportion of cotton cultivation is on land that is intercropped with cereals and pulses. Cultivation of cotton
alongside green gram or other pulses, and sorghum or finger millet is a common
practice in Central and South India (ICAR 2006). In our study village, 79 per cent of the
cotton was grown on intercropped fields. Inter-cropping was particularly
prevalent among small and marginal farmers (poor and middle peasants), for whom
inter-cultivation was a strategy that reserved a part of their total product
for subsistence and another part for commercial sale. By contrast, it was
mainly big cultivators who grew Bt cotton as a stand-alone crop (Table 5).
In this paper, we divide cotton cultivation
into three types: Bt cotton, local cotton, and non-Bt premium cotton (something
of a grey zone of non-Bt hybrids and Bt pollinated on fields). There were clear
differences in the price of seeds as between these three types of cotton.
When grown alone, Bt cotton was the
clear and unequivocal leader in terms of yields, production, gross value of
output, and net income. When mono-cropped, the gross value of output from Bt
cotton was 101 per cent higher than from local cotton, and despite higher costs,
net incomes were 97 per cent higher (Table 7). This concurs with the findings
of other studies (Rao and Mahendra Dev 2009). In absolute terms, our
estimate of gross value of output from stand-alone Bt cotton is very close to
that of Qaim and Subramaniam for Kanzara village, though higher than the gross
value of output reported in official reports. However, as already noted, Bt
cotton was grown as a single crop only on 10 per cent of the gross cropped
area, and mainly by big cultivators.
When intercropped, the relative
income advantage of Bt cotton declined. Thus, most marginal and small farmers,
for whom it is an inter-crop, did not get the full advantage of the transition
to Bt cotton. An important reason for this is the relatively high cost of
cultivation associated with Bt cotton. There are issues here for further
research by agronomists.
When disaggregated, seed costs for
Bt were higher than for other types of cotton, as expected. What was surprising
and not predicted by the data from other studies was the high absolute
expenditure on pesticides, and the high share of pesticides in total input cost
of Bt cotton cultivation (Table 8). On average, on intercropped fields, for
example, the expenditure on pesticides was Rs 706 per acre for Bt cotton and Rs
495 per acre for premium non-Bt cotton (that is, 43 per cent higher for Bt
cotton). Absolute costs of pesticides were even higher on stand-alone Bt cotton
plots. Expenditure on seeds, fertilizers, and pesticides together accounted for
37 per cent of the total costs of Bt cotton cultivation (whether grown alone or
intercropped). For premium non-Bt cotton, these costs amounted to 34 per cent
of the total costs.
While there can be many reasons
for the high costs of cultivation, the absence of adequate agricultural
information from public sector extension workers is clearly one of the
important reasons. In Warwat Khanderao village, we found a heavy dependence of
cultivators on seed companies and input merchants for information on farming
practices. The decline in public extension and information services, and their
privatization, has been an important component part of the liberalization and
globalization package in India.
Lastly, a regression exercise was undertaken
to examine the combined effect of farm size, crop mix, and input use on output
and incomes. The results showed that farm size had a significant positive
effect on gross value of output and net incomes. Further, while fields with
intercropped Bt cotton reported a higher gross value of output than all other
cotton crop combinations, in terms of net incomes, the results were not as
clear-cut. There was a clear income advantage from the cultivation of Bt cotton
over local cotton, but the advantage over fields with premium non-Bt cotton was
not statistically significant. Thus, after adjusting for farm size and input
use, net returns from intercropped fields were similar across types of cotton,
and also similar to returns from stand-alone Bt cotton fields.
Our study showed that farmers in
Warwat Khanderao village, particularly small farmers, were unable to gain the
full benefits of a higher gross value of output from the new cotton technology.
Farming practices and the economics of the cultivation of Bt cotton are not
static: they change from year to year, and vary from region to region. Research
from the Project on Agrarian Relations in India will continue to examine
socio-economic issues in cotton cultivation in different parts of India.
Notes
1 We are grateful to V. K. Ramachandran for clarifying our ideas and writing, to staff and associates of the Foundation for Agrarian Studies for assistance with data collection, entry, and processing, and to an anonymous referee for comments.
2 These are cotton varieties with a gene from the bacterium Bacillus Thuringiensis, which provides resistance to bollworm pests. Area under Bt cotton in the country has grown very fast, from 100,000 hectares in 2003-04 to 76,00,000 hectares in 2008-09 (Rao and Mahendra Dev 2009).
3 Shiva and Jafri (2004) have also questioned the benefits of Bt cotton, but the methodology of their study is not described.
5 Similar results have been reported for China (Pray et al. 2001).
6 The dummy variable for Bt seed has a significant positive coefficient in their estimated production function.
7 For further details on the Project on Agrarian Relations in India (PARI), see the website of the Foundation for Agrarian Studies (FAS) at www.agrarianstudies.org
8 Although Narayanamoorthy and Kalamkar (2006) selected Buldhana district as one of their sites, we have not used their results for comparison, as their sampling strategy resulted in their selecting only cultivators with irrigated land, despite cotton in Maharashtra being mainly an unirrigated crop. Further, Narayanamoorthy and Kalamkar state that they obtained a list of Bt cotton cultivators growing an approved variety from the local commissioner of agriculture, and then selected cultivators by land-holding size and with irrigation. The non-Bt cultivators were chosen purposively in the neighbourhood of the selected Bt cultivators. Without a full listing of cultivators in the selected blocks, it is not clear what this “sample” represents.
9 Some studies differentiate between Bt cotton and conventional cotton (Qaim et al. 2006, Bennett et al. 2006, Subramanian and Qaim 2009), while some differentiate between Bt cotton and conventional hybrid cotton (Ramasundaram et al. 2007, Rao and Dev 2009).
10 The practice of inter-cropping cotton with black gram, green gram, soybean, groundnut, and pigeon pea has been noted in Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, and Gujarat (ICAR 2006).
11 Packets of Bt cotton seeds contained a small packet of non-Bt seeds to be planted as refuge. A field planted with Bt cotton seeds along with non-Bt refuge has been classified in our analysis as stand-alone Bt cotton. Inter-cropping in this note refers only to row inter-cropping of Bt cotton with other crops.
12 Since inter-cropping is practised widely, it is not clear to us how other studies of crop returns, including the literature on returns from Bt cotton, have separated costs and incomes from crops grown on the same plot.
13 Our estimate of cost is higher than that reported for Dongargaon village (Rs 5,791 per acre) by Ramakumar et al. (2009).
14 It was
reported that, in Kanzara village, the quantity of insecticides used on Bt
cotton was 21 per cent less than the quantity of pesticides used on conventional
cotton, but the reported figure is in kilograms, and
it is not clear how liquids of different concentration were converted into kilograms
(Subramanian and Qaim 2010).
15 This is recognized in earlier (pre-GM cotton) research (ICAR 2006).
16 See Ramakumar et al. (2009).
17 The CACP estimates of Cost A2 are similar to our average for the village, but their estimated gross income is much lower than our estimate.
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Appendix Tables
|
Estimate |
Std. error |
t-value |
Pr(>|t|) |
(Intercept) |
8550.51 |
860.08 |
9.94 |
0.00000*** |
Operational holding |
90.99 |
23.67 |
3.84 |
0.00015*** |
Nomadic tribe |
–1217.34 |
804.42 |
–1.51 |
0.13152 |
Scheduled Caste |
–550.21 |
1432.39 |
–0.38 |
0.70123 |
Muslim |
–3245.22 |
693.34 |
–4.68 |
0.00000*** |
Cost of manure per acre |
1.10 |
0.77 |
1.42 |
0.15567 |
Cost of fertilizer per acre |
2.05 |
1.00 |
2.06 |
0.04090* |
Cost of plant protection per acre |
2.31 |
0.82 |
2.80 |
0.00548** |
Cost of irrigation per acre |
–1.84 |
2.75 |
–0.67 |
0.50430 |
Cost of machine labour per acre |
2.22 |
1.65 |
1.35 |
0.17956 |
Cost of animal labour per acre |
0.19 |
0.52 |
0.36 |
0.71957 |
BT (stand-alone) |
–199.65 |
1145.60 |
–0.17 |
0.86180 |
Local non-BT (stand-alone) |
–7991.88 |
1184.07 |
–6.75 |
0.00000*** |
Premium non-BT (inte-rcropped with other crops) |
–1208.55 |
748.65 |
–1.61 |
0.10778 |
Local non-BT (intercropped with other crops) |
–1845.90 |
842.86 |
–2.19 |
0.02949* |
Residual standard error: 4612 on 239 degrees of freedom |
||||
Multiple R-squared: 0.3994, Adjusted R-squared: 0.3642 |
||||
F-statistic: 11.35 on 14 and 239 DF, p-value: < 2.2e–16 |
Notes: Signif. Codes: ‘***’ 0.001 ‘**’ 0.01 ‘*’
0.05
The tests of significance have been done using White’s
heteroscedasticity corrected covariance matrix.
|
Estimate |
Std. error |
t-value |
Pr(>|t|) |
(Intercept) |
8.9977 |
0.0813 |
110.72 |
0.0000*** |
Operational holding |
0.009 |
0.0028 |
3.21 |
0.0015** |
Nomadic tribe |
–0.1527 |
0.0781 |
–1.96 |
0.0517 |
Scheduled Caste |
0.0953 |
0.1325 |
0.72 |
0.4726 |
Muslim |
–0.2904 |
0.0835 |
–3.48 |
0.0006*** |
Cost of manure per acre |
0.0001 |
0.0001 |
1.76 |
0.0797 |
Cost of fertilizer per acre |
0.0002 |
0.0001 |
2.06 |
0.0402* |
Cost of plant protection per acre |
0.0002 |
0.0001 |
2.6 |
0.0100** |
Cost of irrigation per acre |
–0.0002 |
0.0002 |
–0.77 |
0.4413 |
Cost of machine labour per acre |
0.0002 |
0.0001 |
2.25 |
0.0254* |
Cost of animal labour per acre |
0 |
0 |
0.89 |
0.3733 |
BT (stand-alone) |
–0.0232 |
0.094 |
–0.25 |
0.8053 |
Local non-BT (stand-alone) |
–1.1115 |
0.1994 |
–5.57 |
0.0000*** |
Premium non-BT (intercropped with other crops) |
–0.152 |
0.0762 |
–1.99 |
0.0472* |
Local non-BT (intercropped with other crops) |
–0.2781 |
0.0958 |
–2.9 |
0.004** |
Residual standard error: 0.4441 on 231 degrees of freedom |
||||
Multiple R-squared: 0.4048, Adjusted R-squared: 0.3687 |
||||
F-statistic: 11.22 on 14 and 231 DF, p-value: < 2.2e–16 |
Notes: Signif. Codes: ‘***’ 0.001 ‘**’ 0.01 ‘*’
0.05
|
Estimate |
Std. error |
t-value |
Pr(>|t|) |
(Intercept) |
6607.56 |
810.37 |
8.15 |
0.00000*** |
Operational holding |
55.33 |
23.48 |
2.36 |
0.01928* |
Nomadic tribe |
–942.23 |
816.81 |
–1.15 |
0.24984 |
Scheduled Caste |
–584.79 |
1384.59 |
–0.42 |
0.67314 |
Muslim |
–3267.01 |
664.68 |
–4.92 |
0.00000*** |
Cost of manure per acre |
–0.04 |
0.69 |
–0.06 |
0.95552 |
Cost of fertiliser per acre |
0.17 |
0.92 |
0.18 |
0.85654 |
Cost of plant protection per acre |
0.52 |
0.79 |
0.65 |
0.51351 |
Cost of irrigation per acre |
–3.21 |
3.19 |
–1.01 |
0.31402 |
Cost of machine labour per acre |
0.23 |
1.36 |
0.17 |
0.86274 |
Cost of animal labour per acre |
–0.74 |
0.49 |
–1.53 |
0.12772 |
BT (stand-alone) |
17.29 |
1065.24 |
0.02 |
0.98706 |
Local non-BT (stand-alone) |
–6023.14 |
1124.89 |
–5.35 |
0.00000*** |
Premium non-BT (intercropped with other crops) |
–642.61 |
727.38 |
–0.88 |
0.37788 |
Local non-BT (intercropped with other crops) |
–927.58 |
811.85 |
–1.14 |
0.25437 |
Residual standard error: 4439 on 239 degrees of freedom |
||||
Multiple R-squared: 0.1829, Adjusted R-squared: 0.1351 |
||||
F-statistic: 3.822 on 14 and 239 DF, p-value: 7.497e–06 |
Notes: Signif. Codes: ‘***’ 0.001 ‘**’ 0.01 ‘*’
0.05
The tests of significance have been done using White's
heteroscedasticity corrected covariance matrix.
|
BT |
BT |
Premium Non-BT (intercropped with other crops) |
Local Non-BT (intercropped with other crops) |
(Intercept) |
15430.73*** |
8433.63*** |
4796.14* |
4913.89* |
Operational holding |
89.18 |
75.78 |
120.77* |
–31.83 |
Nomadic tribe |
–5603.37 |
–1729.71 |
1703.25 |
–3395.47 |
Scheduled Caste |
–19232.96** |
1434.14 |
–2733.79 |
–2089.49 |
Muslim |
–5236.79 |
–3146.66* |
–2157.88 |
–3401.58* |
Cost of seeds per acre |
–7.34* |
0.35 |
2.51 |
4.36 |
Cost of manure per acre |
–0.49 |
1.42 |
0.20 |
1.89 |
Cost of fertilizer per acre |
2.46 |
1.47 |
–0.01 |
5.85* |
Cost of plant protection per acre |
2.21 |
2.29* |
3.20 |
0.09 |
Cost of irrigation per acre |
0.86 |
0.15 |
NA |
NA |
Cost of machine labour per acre |
12.66* |
1.57 |
5.78 |
5.79 |
Cost of animal labour per acre |
–0.24 |
0.75 |
–0.16 |
–0.29 |
Degrees of freedom |
22 |
107 |
45 |
26 |
Residual standard error |
4751 |
5036 |
4204 |
3234 |
Adjusted R-squared |
0.4559 |
0.1569 |
0.233 |
0.4895 |
Notes: Signif. Codes: ‘***’ 0.001 ‘**’ 0.01 ‘*’
0.05
No irrigation was used on fields planted with premium and ordinary non-BT cotton.
Explanatory variables |
|
Operational holding |
Acres |
Nomadic tribe |
1 if social group=Nomadic
tribe, 0 otherwise |
Scheduled Caste |
1 if social group=Scheduled
Caste 0 otherwise
|
Muslim |
1 if social group=Muslim, 0
otherwise |
Nomadic tribe=Scheduled
Caste=Muslim=0 if the household belonged to OBC
|
|
Cost of manure per acre |
Rs per acre |
Cost of fertilizer per acre |
Rs per acre |
Cost of plant protection per acre |
Rs per acre |
Cost of irrigation per acre |
Rs per acre |
Cost of machine labour per acre |
Rs per acre |
Cost of animal labour per acre |
Rs per acre |
BT (stand-alone) |
1 if stand-alone BT cotton,
0 otherwise |
Local non-BT (stand-alone) |
1 if stand-alone Ordinary Non-BT cotton, 0 otherwise |
Premium non-BT (intercropped |
1 if Premium non-BT cotton
intercropped with other crops, 0 otherwise
|
Local
non-BT (intercropped |
1 if Local non-BT cotton
intercropped with other crops, 0 otherwise
|
BT (stand-alone) = Local
non-BT (stand-alone) = Premium non-BT (intercropped with other crops) = Local
non-BT (intercropped with other crops) = 0 if BT cotton (intercropped with
other crops) was cultivated.
|
Type of cotton |
Residual standard error |
BT cotton stand-alone |
4751 |
BT cotton intercropped with other crops |
5036 |
Premium non-BT cotton intercropped with other crops |
4204 |
Local non-BT cotton intercropped with other crops |
3234 |
All cotton |
4612 |